Iranian Posture Shift and Trump's Threats Stir Oil Prices

In recent days, the geopolitical landscape of the Strait of Hormuz has taken on an additional layer of tension with Iran’s toughening stance and President Trump’s retaliatory threats. Although oil prices have risen slightly in recent sessions, markets remain vigilant as tensions persist amid already faltering negotiations that seemed destined for non-renewal of the MOU (Memorandum of Understanding). Tehran's shift to a more offensive posture, coupled with the seizure of an Emirati tanker, has kept risk premiums under pressure, even as actual flow data remains normal. Analysts highlight that the lack of immediate impact on global supply should not prompt governments into aggressive reactions, opting instead for a strategy of waiting and sanctions. Meanwhile, back-channel talks via Qatar represent the only variable capable of quickly easing tensions, though any advancement will depend on delicate negotiations between Tehran and Doha. This has kept oil prices at an elevated level. "Source original: ForexLive (InvestingLive)"